Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: November 27, 2025, Pre-Election Survey Report

The November 27th election in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is predicted to be one of the tightest and most competitive in the nation's modern history.

The ruling ULP holds a slim, statistically significant lead over the NDP, but a one-point shift in voter satisfaction could determine which party forms the next government.

This isn't just a poll, it's the first comprehensive psephological analysis from the firm that accurately predicted the outcomes of the:

• 2022 Grenada Elections (NDC Victory)
• April 2025 Trinidad & Tobago Elections (UNC Win)
• September 2025 Guyana Elections
• 2025 Suriname &
• 2025 Jamaica Results

Dunn Pierre Barnett & Company Canada Ltd. (DPBA) is one of the most trusted political forecasting organisations in the Caribbean. Now, you can get access to the same high-level data and analysis our institutional clients rely on.

This report is the definitive guide to understanding exactly what is happening on the ground in SVG.

WHAT'S INSIDE THE REPORT?

This report is based on a robust national survey of 2,402 Vincentians across all 15 constituencies, using advanced demographic modelling and Markov Chain Transition simulations.1

You will get exclusive access to:

• Top-Line Seat Projections: The current projected seat count (ULP 8 ± 1 seats vs. NDP 7 ± 1 seats).
• Probabilistic Forecast: The data-driven probability of a ULP victory (64%), an NDP victory (33%), or a hung parliament (3%).
• The Key Demographic Splits:

• The Gender Divide: See the hard numbers on why women remain more supportive of the ULP while men are shifting to the NDP.
• The Generational Divide: Understand the "appetite for change" among voters aged 18-34 and the loyalty of older voters (45+).
• The Geographic Map: Discover why urban voters in Kingstown show lower satisfaction while rural communities remain ULP strongholds.

• The Issues Driving the Vote: Go beyond the headlines with hard data on the real impact of 27% youth unemployment, 5.8% inflation, and the rising cost of living.
• The Path to Victory (For Both Parties):
• Who is the best leader to rule the country

• ULP's Critical Path: What the ULP must do to maintain its 5.5/10 satisfaction rating and secure a 9-6 majority.
• NDP's Path to Power: The exact strategy the NDP needs to mobilise urban men, youth, and professionals, and why a 5% swing in urban areas could flip two key constituencies.

• Mobilisation & Turnout Analysis: A breakdown of the 33% drop in non-voters, showing who is newly engaged and why.
  

WHO IS THIS REPORT FOR?

• Political Parties & Campaign Managers: Base your last-minute strategy on data, not guesses.
• Journalists, Media & Pundits: Report with confidence and authority using the most accurate data available.
• Academics & Researchers: Get the raw data and deep analysis for your research on Caribbean psephology.
• Business Leaders & Investors: Understand the political landscape and the factors that will shape the SVG economy.
• Engaged Citizens & Diaspora: Get the real story behind the political noise.
  

  GET IT NOW AT A 94% DISCOUNT

  
  The election is just days away. This data is critical, actionable, and time-sensitive.For a limited time, we are making this full institutional report available to the public at a special introductory price.Introductory Price: $29.99 (Available only until November 28, 2025)After November 28, this report will return to its standard price of $499.00.Don't miss your chance to get the most crucial data on the 2025 SVG election.Click "Buy This!" to get instant access to the full report.